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2024-12-14 12:42:37

Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.


The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion for the 11th consecutive trading day, nearly 70 billion more than yesterday.Sora concept stocks strengthened, Huace Film and Television rose by more than 10%, Sora concept stocks strengthened, Huace Film and Television rose by more than 10%, Fengyuzhu and Tianyu Entertainment both went up, and Borui Communication, Jincai Internet, Yuanlongyatu and Huayang Lianzhong followed suit.Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)


According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.IDC: The global market for sweeping robots continued to grow in the third quarter. According to IDC's Quarterly Tracking Report on the Global Smart Home Equipment Market, the third quarter of 2024, the global market for intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units in the third quarter, up 11.1% year-on-year. Among them, the domestic market was boosted by the trade-in of old models at the end of September, with 1.321 million units shipped, up by 17% year-on-year, and the efforts of most provinces were around 20%, which significantly stimulated the shipment of high-end models, and this trend also continued to this year's "Double Eleven". The proportion of overseas sales of China manufacturers continues to increase, and the competition of high-end all-around models in European and American markets is still fierce.

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